2026–2030 Development Milestones
Duration: 55 min · Level: Foundational · Module: 10. G1 Development Roadmap · Focus: milestones, roadmap, 2030, G1
By the end of this lesson you will be able to explain and apply:
- 2026 Q2
- 2026 Q4
- 2027 Q2
- 2027 Q4
- 2028 Q2
Why this matters
A concrete milestone-based roadmap with measurable acceptance criteria, from current prototype state to commercial launch.
Overview
A concrete milestone-based roadmap with measurable acceptance criteria, from current prototype state to commercial launch. Each milestone includes a "done when" definition and a key dependency.
Key concepts
2026 Q2 — Locomotion V1: G1 walks 500m continuously on varied indoor terrain (carpet, tile, linoleum) without fall; stair-climbing (standard 7" riser) at 0.3 m/s; pass ISO/TS 15066 contact tests
- 2026 Q4 — Manipulation V1: complete 5 benchmark manipulation tasks at >80% success rate: pick-and-place, open/close door, pour liquid, hand object to human, carry tray while walking
- 2027 Q2 — Integration Alpha: combined loco-manipulation for 30-minute autonomy in simulated hospital room; maintain ISO 10218-2 compliance throughout; battery life >4 hours at low-activity profile
- 2027 Q4 — Beta Partner Deployment: 3 units deployed at 1-2 pilot hospital partners for monitored daily use; collect 1000+ hours real-world data; track failure modes and resolution time
- 2028 Q2 — VLA V2: fine-tuned foundation model trained on real-world G1 data; demonstrates generalization to new tasks within 30-minute teleoperation demo; 90% success on benchmark suite
- 2029 — Pre-production: 50-unit production run, full regulatory submission, clinical trial completion, commercial pricing finalized; 2030 commercial launch
Check your understanding
Try to recall each answer before expanding it.
Q1. What do you know about 2026 Q2?
Locomotion V1: G1 walks 500m continuously on varied indoor terrain (carpet, tile, linoleum) without fall; stair-climbing (standard 7" riser) at 0.3 m/s; pass ISO/TS 15066 contact tests
Q2. What do you know about 2026 Q4?
Manipulation V1: complete 5 benchmark manipulation tasks at >80% success rate: pick-and-place, open/close door, pour liquid, hand object to human, carry tray while walking
Q3. What do you know about 2027 Q2?
Integration Alpha: combined loco-manipulation for 30-minute autonomy in simulated hospital room; maintain ISO 10218-2 compliance throughout; battery life >4 hours at low-activity profile
Q4. What do you know about 2027 Q4?
Beta Partner Deployment: 3 units deployed at 1-2 pilot hospital partners for monitored daily use; collect 1000+ hours real-world data; track failure modes and resolution time
Q5. What do you know about 2028 Q2?
VLA V2: fine-tuned foundation model trained on real-world G1 data; demonstrates generalization to new tasks within 30-minute teleoperation demo; 90% success on benchmark suite
← Previous: 10.2 Critical Risk Areas & Mitigation Plans · Next: 10.4 Research Partnerships & Open Challenges →
Part of Module 10: G1 Development Roadmap.